About Fear : Keep the US Forces in Korea

We can make mistakes in a fight because of fear. We could run away or have too much aggressiveness. From the standpoint of each person, various solutions to the North Korean nuclear issue can be told. And it looks like we have to look at what parts of these solutions are backed up by fear, and which parts are excessive.

The US government talks about ICBM. Trump thought that withdrawing from the Korean peninsula at the first. However, he would have realized It can undermining seriously the United States's achievements in the 20th century. He turned to a strong attack. But how many people can still insist the alliance with South Korea when North Korea completes the ICBM and intimidates the United States? This is a test for you. This is a matter of belief.

The US has limited missile's weight of the South Korea and limited its possession of nuclear weapons. But, the issue of missile's weight limitations is being discussed between the United States and South Korea, and if the weight restrictions of Korea's cruise missiles disappear, it will become a strategic weapon capable of destroying Kim Jung Eun's underground bunker which can survive from nuclear warfare. Also, the return of the wartime control is also being talked about. The return of this wartime control is a pretty good key. Fighting North Korea will become Korea, not the United States officially. The meaning of the North Korean's demand about withdrawal US Forces from South Korea will be fading.

However, if North Korea is aiming to attack South Korea, they will talk about explicit conditions such as the dismantling of the US-Korea alliance, the peace treaty, and the prohibition on the provision of nuclear umbrellas.

When North Korea attacks the United States, they have to hit all the US military bases in Asia at the same time. This will be an Asian war. However, the appointment of China and North Korea about automatic intervention in case of emergency has changed. China declared that it would not keep the duty of automatic intervention when North Korea preemptively attacked. So, North Korea cannot attack the United States because US can hit North Korea's leadership part and nuclear facilities, although China does not allow US ground forces to attack.

When we look at this situation, there is nothing North Korea can do, even if the US continues to be stationed on the Korean peninsula. I wrote the last article in the sense that it is better to withdraw from the Korean peninsula than to cause a war by a preemptive attack, but there is no reason to do so. To withdraw from the Korean peninsula, South Korea must have nuclear weapons. Also, for deterrence, it is better to stay in Korea than to stay in Japan. In the end, what we have to keep is the presence of US Force in Korea. In this situation, it would not be a problem if the peace treaty means that we will not preemptively attack North Korea.

However, we have to do our best to prevent accidental warfare, and we should avoid two things: the US attacks North Korea in an excited state or drive North Korea into extreme situations. North Korea can not give up its nuclear weapons now. In the end, the only way is to keep current situation and to negotiate about economic sanctions and freeze on the right line.



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